First Financial Stock Performance

THFF Stock  USD 67.80  0.27  0.40%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, First Financial holds a performance score of 14. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.95, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. First Financial returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Financial is expected to follow. Please check First Financial's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the expected short fall and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether First Financial's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Financial are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly abnormal technical and fundamental indicators, First Financial reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.56
Five Day Return
6.43
Year To Date Return
14.36
Ten Year Return
112.32
All Time Return
776.06
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0313
Payout Ratio
0.3129
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
2.09
Dividend Date
2026-01-15
1
Does First Financial Bankshares Inc. stock trade below intrinsic value - Market Volume Summary High Conviction Buy Zone Picks - newser.com
11/17/2025
2
Acquisition by Brighton William Curtis of 1000 shares of First Financial at 48.994 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/12/2025
3
Investors in First Financial have seen notable returns of 75 percent over the past five years
01/06/2026
4
3 Dividend Stocks To Consider With Up To 12.8 percent Yield
01/09/2026
5
Texas bank reshuffles leadership in West Texas and Houston regions - Stock Titan
01/14/2026
 
First Financial dividend paid on 15th of January 2026
01/15/2026
6
Is First Financial Corporation forming a breakout pattern - July 2025 Sentiment Reliable Breakout Stock Forecasts - baoquankhu1.vn
01/20/2026
7
Does Stronger Earnings And Lower Net Charge-Offs Change The Bull Case For First Financial Bankshares - simplywall.st
01/23/2026
8
First Financial Bancorp Reports Earnings Tomorrow What To Expect - Finviz
01/27/2026
9
Acquisition by Krieble William Randolph of 300 shares of First Financial at 33.94 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/30/2026
10
First Financial Net Interest Margin Strength Supports Bullish Narratives In Q3 FY 2025
02/03/2026
11
Undervalued Small Caps With Insider Action To Watch In February 2026
02/05/2026

First Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,641  in First Financial on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,166  from holding First Financial or generate 20.67% return on investment over 90 days. First Financial is currently generating 0.3288% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.7639% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than First, and 94% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Financial is expected to generate 2.31 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.31 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.19 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

First Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 67.80 90 days 67.80 
roughly 2.59
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.59 (This First Financial probability density function shows the probability of First Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Financial has a beta of 0.95. This usually implies First Financial market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Financial is expected to follow. Additionally First Financial has an alpha of 0.3561, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.2468.0069.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
61.2672.1473.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
66.3468.1069.87
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
61.8868.0075.48
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Financial.

First Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.95
σ
Overall volatility
3.76
Ir
Information ratio 0.20

First Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of January 2026 First Financial paid $ 0.56 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Undervalued Small Caps With Insider Action To Watch In February 2026

First Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of First Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential First Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.3 B

First Financial Fundamentals Growth

First Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Financial, and First Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Stock performance.

About First Financial Performance

By analyzing First Financial's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into First Financial's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if First Financial has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Financial has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.02 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.12  0.11 

Things to note about First Financial performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for First Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of January 2026 First Financial paid $ 0.56 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Undervalued Small Caps With Insider Action To Watch In February 2026
Evaluating First Financial's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate First Financial's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing First Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether First Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining First Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating First Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of First Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of First Financial's stock. These opinions can provide insight into First Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating First Financial's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact First Financial's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis

When running First Financial's price analysis, check to measure First Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Financial is operating at the current time. Most of First Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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